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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

18%

Como

5.50

25%

Draw

4.00

57%

Napoli

1.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

0 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Como xG

Total xG

3.12

2.02

Napoli xG

18%
25%
57%
ComoDrawNapoli

5.50

18%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

1.76

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

13%

Como

7.58

33%

Napoli

3.00

Win to Nil

2%

Como

41.70

19%

Napoli

5.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 8.9 9.0 6.1 3.1 1.2
1 4.8 9.8 9.9 6.7 3.4 1.4
2 2.7 5.4 5.5 3.7 1.9 0.8
3 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.3
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.100
λ Away (xG) 2.025
Total xG 3.125
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 1.237
Como attack strength 1.063
Como defence strength 1.211
Napoli attack strength 1.352
Napoli defence strength 0.775
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 63