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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 30 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

40%

Como

2.50

28%

Draw

3.60

32%

Lecce

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Como xG

Total xG

2.37

1.10

Lecce xG

40%
28%
32%
ComoDrawLecce

2.50

40%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

33%

Como

3.01

28%

Lecce

3.54

Win to Nil

13%

Como

7.50

9%

Lecce

11.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.3 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.9 13.1 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.5 8.3 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.2 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.264
λ Away (xG) 1.101
Total xG 2.365
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.341
Como attack strength 0.878
Como defence strength 1.253
Lecce attack strength 0.655
Lecce defence strength 1.076
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 55