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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

35%

Como

2.84

28%

Draw

3.59

37%

Lazio

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Como xG

Total xG

2.43

1.23

Lazio xG

35%
28%
37%
ComoDrawLazio

2.84

35%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

29%

Como

3.43

30%

Lazio

3.31

Win to Nil

10%

Como

9.73

11%

Lazio

8.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 10.8 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 13.0 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 6.3 7.8 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.198
λ Away (xG) 1.232
Total xG 2.430
League avg home goals 1.158
League avg away goals 1.193
Como attack strength 1.055
Como defence strength 0.986
Lazio attack strength 1.048
Lazio defence strength 0.981
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38