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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

20%

Como

4.94

29%

Draw

3.51

51%

Atalanta

1.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

0 – 2

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Como xG

Total xG

2.58

1.63

Atalanta xG

20%
29%
51%
ComoDrawAtalanta

4.94

20%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

1.95

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

20%

Como

5.08

39%

Atalanta

2.59

Win to Nil

4%

Como

25.13

20%

Atalanta

5.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 12.3 10.0 5.4 2.2 0.7
1 7.2 11.8 9.6 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 3.4 5.6 4.6 2.5 1.0 0.3
3 1.1 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.953
λ Away (xG) 1.626
Total xG 2.579
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.295
Como attack strength 1.074
Como defence strength 1.164
Atalanta attack strength 1.079
Atalanta defence strength 0.658
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59