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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Thu 15 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

35%

Como

2.86

32%

Draw

3.09

33%

AC Milan

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Como xG

Total xG

1.85

0.90

AC Milan xG

35%
32%
33%
ComoDrawAC Milan

2.86

35%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

41%

Como

2.46

39%

AC Milan

2.57

Win to Nil

14%

Como

7.04

13%

AC Milan

7.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.8 14.2 6.4 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 14.9 13.4 6.1 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 7.0 6.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
3 2.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.945
λ Away (xG) 0.902
Total xG 1.847
League avg home goals 1.187
League avg away goals 1.166
Como attack strength 1.013
Como defence strength 0.683
AC Milan attack strength 1.132
AC Milan defence strength 0.786
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57