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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Tue 14 Jan 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

29%

Como

3.43

28%

Draw

3.57

43%

AC Milan

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Como xG

Total xG

2.70

1.50

AC Milan xG

29%
28%
43%
ComoDrawAC Milan

3.43

29%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

22%

Como

4.49

30%

AC Milan

3.32

Win to Nil

6%

Como

15.40

13%

AC Milan

7.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 10.1 7.6 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.1 12.1 9.1 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 4.8 7.3 5.4 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.9 2.9 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.201
λ Away (xG) 1.501
Total xG 2.702
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.298
Como attack strength 0.935
Como defence strength 1.150
AC Milan attack strength 1.005
AC Milan defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 56