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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

46%

Cagliari

2.19

29%

Draw

3.44

25%

Parma

3.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.40

0.99

Parma xG

46%
29%
25%
CagliariDrawParma

2.19

46%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

3.95

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

37%

Cagliari

2.69

24%

Parma

4.09

Win to Nil

17%

Cagliari

5.89

6%

Parma

16.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 9.0 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.8 12.7 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.9 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.409
λ Away (xG) 0.988
Total xG 2.397
League avg home goals 1.201
League avg away goals 1.060
Cagliari attack strength 1.056
Cagliari defence strength 1.029
Parma attack strength 0.906
Parma defence strength 1.110
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40