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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 16 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

52%

Cagliari

1.92

29%

Draw

3.45

19%

Lecce

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.00

0.68

Lecce xG

52%
29%
19%
CagliariDrawLecce

1.92

52%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.76

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

51%

Cagliari

1.97

27%

Lecce

3.77

Win to Nil

27%

Cagliari

3.77

5%

Lecce

20.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 9.1 3.1 0.7 0.1
1 17.9 12.1 4.1 0.9 0.2
2 11.9 8.0 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 5.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
4 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.327
λ Away (xG) 0.676
Total xG 2.003
League avg home goals 1.240
League avg away goals 1.227
Cagliari attack strength 1.126
Cagliari defence strength 0.886
Lecce attack strength 0.621
Lecce defence strength 0.950
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62