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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

34%

Cagliari

2.93

32%

Draw

3.11

34%

Lazio

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Cagliari xG

Total xG

1.94

0.97

Lazio xG

34%
32%
34%
CagliariDrawLazio

2.93

34%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

38%

Cagliari

2.63

38%

Lazio

2.64

Win to Nil

13%

Cagliari

7.71

13%

Lazio

7.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.4 13.9 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 14.0 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 6.8 6.6 3.2 1.0 0.2
3 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.971
λ Away (xG) 0.966
Total xG 1.937
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.234
Cagliari attack strength 1.027
Cagliari defence strength 0.990
Lazio attack strength 0.791
Lazio defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63