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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 2 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Unipol Domus

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

26%

Cagliari

3.90

25%

Draw

4.07

50%

AC Milan

2.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Cagliari xG

Total xG

2.74

1.63

AC Milan xG

26%
25%
50%
CagliariDrawAC Milan

3.90

26%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.01

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

20%

Cagliari

5.12

33%

AC Milan

3.01

Win to Nil

5%

Cagliari

19.97

17%

AC Milan

6.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 10.6 8.7 4.7 1.9 0.6
1 7.1 11.7 9.5 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 3.9 6.4 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.4 2.4 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.102
λ Away (xG) 1.634
Total xG 2.736
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.115
Cagliari attack strength 1.030
Cagliari defence strength 1.172
AC Milan attack strength 1.251
AC Milan defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 54