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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 28 Dec 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

42%

Bologna

2.40

27%

Draw

3.66

31%

Sassuolo

3.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.42

1.10

Sassuolo xG

42%
27%
31%
BolognaDrawSassuolo

2.40

42%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.22

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

33%

Bologna

3.01

27%

Sassuolo

3.75

Win to Nil

14%

Bologna

7.23

8%

Sassuolo

12.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 11.7 12.9 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.7 8.5 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.4 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.321
λ Away (xG) 1.102
Total xG 2.423
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.119
Bologna attack strength 1.043
Bologna defence strength 0.927
Sassuolo attack strength 1.061
Sassuolo defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 16