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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

38%

Bologna

2.63

29%

Draw

3.41

33%

Lazio

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.74

1.31

Lazio xG

38%
29%
33%
BolognaDrawLazio

2.63

38%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

27%

Bologna

3.71

24%

Lazio

4.17

Win to Nil

10%

Bologna

9.76

8%

Lazio

12.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.5 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.2 12.1 7.9 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.6 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.427
λ Away (xG) 1.311
Total xG 2.738
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.226
Bologna attack strength 1.278
Bologna defence strength 0.950
Lazio attack strength 1.126
Lazio defence strength 0.867
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66