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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

57%

Bologna

1.77

25%

Draw

4.07

19%

Juventus

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.52

0.85

Juventus xG

57%
25%
19%
BolognaDrawJuventus

1.77

57%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

43%

Bologna

2.34

19%

Juventus

5.31

Win to Nil

24%

Bologna

4.14

4%

Juventus

28.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 13.4 11.4 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.2 9.5 4.1 1.2 0.2
3 6.2 5.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.670
λ Away (xG) 0.852
Total xG 2.522
League avg home goals 1.163
League avg away goals 1.115
Bologna attack strength 1.462
Bologna defence strength 0.810
Juventus attack strength 0.944
Juventus defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72