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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

64%

Atalanta

1.56

22%

Draw

4.65

14%

Venezia

7.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Atalanta xG

Total xG

3.10

0.94

Venezia xG

64%
22%
14%
AtalantaDrawVenezia

1.56

64%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

7.01

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

39%

Atalanta

2.56

12%

Venezia

8.65

Win to Nil

25%

Atalanta

3.99

2%

Venezia

60.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 9.7 9.2 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.9 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 7.6 7.1 3.3 1.0 0.2
4 4.1 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.158
λ Away (xG) 0.940
Total xG 3.098
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.217
Atalanta attack strength 1.234
Atalanta defence strength 1.019
Venezia attack strength 0.758
Venezia defence strength 1.310
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 26