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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atalanta Win
45%
2.21
31%
3.18
23%
4.31
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
11.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.33
Atalanta xG
Total xG
2.21
0.88
Sassuolo xG
AtalantaDrawSassuolo
2.21
45%
Home win
3.18
31%
Draw
4.31
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
41%
2.42
27%
3.77
Win to Nil
19%
5.33
6%
16.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 14.6 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.327
λ Away (xG)
0.883
Total xG
2.210
League avg home goals
1.155
League avg away goals
1.031
Atalanta attack strength
1.088
Atalanta defence strength
0.919
Sassuolo attack strength
0.931
Sassuolo defence strength
1.056
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
48 / 10