Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

46%

Atalanta

2.19

28%

Draw

3.51

26%

Pisa

3.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.46

1.02

Pisa xG

46%
28%
26%
AtalantaDrawPisa

2.19

46%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.86

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

36%

Atalanta

2.78

24%

Pisa

4.20

Win to Nil

16%

Atalanta

6.09

6%

Pisa

16.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.8 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.3 12.6 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.0 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.435
λ Away (xG) 1.022
Total xG 2.457
League avg home goals 1.167
League avg away goals 1.158
Atalanta attack strength 1.069
Atalanta defence strength 1.038
Pisa attack strength 0.850
Pisa defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0