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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atalanta Win
41%
2.43
32%
3.11
27%
3.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.9%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
16.1%
Draw
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.05
Atalanta xG
Total xG
1.83
0.78
Parma xG
AtalantaDrawParma
2.43
41%
Home win
3.11
32%
Draw
3.76
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
54%
Over 1.5
1.85
46%
Under 1.5
2.17
28%
Over 2.5
3.57
72%
Under 2.5
1.39
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.85
65%
BTTS No
1.54
Clean Sheet
46%
2.18
35%
2.85
Win to Nil
19%
5.28
9%
10.71
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.1 | 12.5 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.9 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 8.8 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.048
λ Away (xG)
0.778
Total xG
1.826
League avg home goals
1.186
League avg away goals
1.144
Atalanta attack strength
1.021
Atalanta defence strength
0.793
Parma attack strength
0.858
Parma defence strength
0.865
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
59 / 59