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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

54%

Atalanta

1.86

27%

Draw

3.66

19%

Parma

5.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.32

0.80

Parma xG

54%
27%
19%
AtalantaDrawParma

1.86

54%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

5.30

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

45%

Atalanta

2.22

22%

Parma

4.60

Win to Nil

24%

Atalanta

4.13

4%

Parma

24.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 7.8 3.1 0.8 0.2
1 14.9 11.9 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.1 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 5.8 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.526
λ Away (xG) 0.798
Total xG 2.324
League avg home goals 1.230
League avg away goals 1.143
Atalanta attack strength 1.050
Atalanta defence strength 0.945
Parma attack strength 0.739
Parma defence strength 1.182
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 37