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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

17:00

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

39%

Atalanta

2.55

29%

Draw

3.41

32%

Lazio

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.50

1.17

Lazio xG

39%
29%
32%
AtalantaDrawLazio

2.55

39%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

31%

Atalanta

3.23

26%

Lazio

3.79

Win to Nil

12%

Atalanta

8.23

8%

Lazio

12.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.6 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.2
1 10.9 12.8 7.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 8.5 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.2 3.8 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.332
λ Away (xG) 1.171
Total xG 2.503
League avg home goals 1.162
League avg away goals 1.078
Atalanta attack strength 1.210
Atalanta defence strength 1.024
Lazio attack strength 1.060
Lazio defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44