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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

41%

Atalanta

2.47

29%

Draw

3.47

31%

Lazio

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.71

1.25

Lazio xG

41%
29%
31%
AtalantaDrawLazio

2.47

41%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

29%

Atalanta

3.48

23%

Lazio

4.32

Win to Nil

12%

Atalanta

8.59

7%

Lazio

14.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.3 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 12.1 7.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 8.9 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.464
λ Away (xG) 1.248
Total xG 2.712
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.165
Atalanta attack strength 1.036
Atalanta defence strength 1.013
Lazio attack strength 1.057
Lazio defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68