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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

New Balance Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

40%

Atalanta

2.47

26%

Draw

3.82

33%

Juventus

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.63

1.24

Juventus xG

40%
26%
33%
AtalantaDrawJuventus

2.47

40%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

29%

Atalanta

3.45

25%

Juventus

4.01

Win to Nil

12%

Atalanta

8.54

8%

Juventus

11.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.0 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.0 12.4 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 7.0 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.388
λ Away (xG) 1.239
Total xG 2.627
League avg home goals 1.253
League avg away goals 1.175
Atalanta attack strength 1.146
Atalanta defence strength 0.828
Juventus attack strength 1.274
Juventus defence strength 0.967
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69