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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 28 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

New Balance Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

33%

Atalanta

3.02

26%

Draw

3.87

41%

Inter

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.68

1.43

Inter xG

33%
26%
41%
AtalantaDrawInter

3.02

33%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

24%

Atalanta

4.16

29%

Inter

3.50

Win to Nil

8%

Atalanta

12.56

12%

Inter

8.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.8 7.0 3.3 1.2 0.3
1 8.6 12.3 8.7 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.4 7.7 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.3 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.253
λ Away (xG) 1.425
Total xG 2.678
League avg home goals 1.225
League avg away goals 1.118
Atalanta attack strength 1.044
Atalanta defence strength 0.977
Inter attack strength 1.304
Inter defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 53