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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

25%

Atalanta

3.95

28%

Draw

3.53

46%

Inter

2.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.71

1.59

Inter xG

25%
28%
46%
AtalantaDrawInter

3.95

25%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

2.16

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

20%

Atalanta

4.88

33%

Inter

3.07

Win to Nil

5%

Atalanta

19.31

15%

Inter

6.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 10.6 8.4 4.4 1.8 0.6
1 7.5 11.9 9.4 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 4.2 6.7 5.3 2.8 1.1 0.4
3 1.6 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.123
λ Away (xG) 1.586
Total xG 2.709
League avg home goals 1.315
League avg away goals 1.202
Atalanta attack strength 1.108
Atalanta defence strength 0.964
Inter attack strength 1.369
Inter defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66