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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

New Balance Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

69%

Atalanta

1.45

19%

Draw

5.33

12%

Hellas Verona

8.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.96

0.79

Hellas Verona xG

69%
19%
12%
AtalantaDrawHellas Verona

1.45

69%

Home win

5.33

19%

Draw

8.06

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

45%

Atalanta

2.21

11%

Hellas Verona

8.70

Win to Nil

31%

Atalanta

3.21

1%

Hellas Verona

70.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 8.9 3.5 0.9 0.2
2 12.2 9.6 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 8.8 7.0 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 4.7 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.163
λ Away (xG) 0.792
Total xG 2.955
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.194
Atalanta attack strength 1.210
Atalanta defence strength 0.869
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.764
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.396
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67