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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

19:45

Venue

New Balance Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

48%

Atalanta

2.09

27%

Draw

3.66

25%

Genoa

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.31

0.92

Genoa xG

48%
27%
25%
AtalantaDrawGenoa

2.09

48%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

40%

Atalanta

2.50

25%

Genoa

4.01

Win to Nil

19%

Atalanta

5.24

6%

Genoa

16.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 9.1 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.8 12.7 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 8.8 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.4 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.388
λ Away (xG) 0.918
Total xG 2.306
League avg home goals 1.253
League avg away goals 1.132
Atalanta attack strength 1.056
Atalanta defence strength 0.846
Genoa attack strength 0.958
Genoa defence strength 1.049
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72