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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

17:00

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

58%

Atalanta

1.74

20%

Draw

4.93

22%

Empoli

4.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

2 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

Atalanta xG

Total xG

3.49

1.30

Empoli xG

58%
20%
22%
AtalantaDrawEmpoli

1.74

58%

Home win

4.93

20%

Draw

4.50

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.83

Clean Sheet

27%

Atalanta

3.69

11%

Empoli

8.93

Win to Nil

16%

Atalanta

6.41

2%

Empoli

40.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 6.6 8.7 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.3 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.3 6.9 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 2.9 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.189
λ Away (xG) 1.305
Total xG 3.494
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.322
Atalanta attack strength 1.619
Atalanta defence strength 0.968
Empoli attack strength 1.020
Empoli defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54