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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

42%

Atalanta

2.36

26%

Draw

3.80

31%

Como

3.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Atalanta xG

Total xG

2.59

1.18

Como xG

42%
26%
31%
AtalantaDrawComo

2.36

42%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.19

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.90

48%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

31%

Atalanta

3.25

24%

Como

4.12

Win to Nil

13%

Atalanta

7.67

8%

Como

13.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.8 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.6 12.5 7.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 8.8 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.5 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.416
λ Away (xG) 1.179
Total xG 2.595
League avg home goals 1.205
League avg away goals 1.173
Atalanta attack strength 1.270
Atalanta defence strength 1.009
Como attack strength 0.996
Como defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43