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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Gewiss Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

57%

Atalanta

1.76

25%

Draw

4.03

18%

Cagliari

5.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

2 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Atalanta xG

Total xG

3.35

1.20

Cagliari xG

57%
25%
18%
AtalantaDrawCagliari

1.76

57%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

5.44

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

30%

Atalanta

3.32

12%

Cagliari

8.58

Win to Nil

17%

Atalanta

5.85

2%

Cagliari

46.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.5 9.1 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.8 7.0 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.1 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.150
λ Away (xG) 1.201
Total xG 3.351
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.320
Atalanta attack strength 1.378
Atalanta defence strength 1.057
Cagliari attack strength 0.860
Cagliari defence strength 1.131
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62