Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

11:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

49%

AS Roma

2.05

30%

Draw

3.37

22%

Lazio

4.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.04

0.75

Lazio xG

49%
30%
22%
AS RomaDrawLazio

2.05

49%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

4.64

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.60

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

47%

AS Roma

2.12

28%

Lazio

3.60

Win to Nil

23%

AS Roma

4.36

6%

Lazio

16.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 9.8 3.7 0.9 0.2
1 16.8 12.6 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 10.7 8.1 3.0 0.8 0.1
3 4.6 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.282
λ Away (xG) 0.753
Total xG 2.035
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.131
AS Roma attack strength 1.352
AS Roma defence strength 0.719
Lazio attack strength 0.926
Lazio defence strength 0.759
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74