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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 5 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

48%

AS Roma

2.08

24%

Draw

4.11

28%

Lazio

3.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

AS Roma xG

Total xG

3.14

1.33

Lazio xG

48%
24%
28%
AS RomaDrawLazio

2.08

48%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

3.63

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

26%

AS Roma

3.78

16%

Lazio

6.12

Win to Nil

13%

AS Roma

7.86

5%

Lazio

22.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.7 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.1
1 7.8 10.4 6.9 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.4 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 4.3 5.7 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.9 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.812
λ Away (xG) 1.330
Total xG 3.142
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.330
AS Roma attack strength 1.380
AS Roma defence strength 0.900
Lazio attack strength 1.111
Lazio defence strength 1.007
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56