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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

54%

AS Roma

1.84

26%

Draw

3.82

19%

Juventus

5.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.68

0.95

Juventus xG

54%
26%
19%
AS RomaDrawJuventus

1.84

54%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

5.15

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

39%

AS Roma

2.59

18%

Juventus

5.64

Win to Nil

21%

AS Roma

4.76

3%

Juventus

29.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 11.8 11.3 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.7 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.9 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.6 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.730
λ Away (xG) 0.953
Total xG 2.683
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.163
AS Roma attack strength 1.374
AS Roma defence strength 0.798
Juventus attack strength 1.027
Juventus defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68