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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

43%

AS Roma

2.33

29%

Draw

3.43

28%

Atalanta

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.15

0.93

Atalanta xG

43%
29%
28%
AS RomaDrawAtalanta

2.33

43%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

40%

AS Roma

2.53

29%

Atalanta

3.39

Win to Nil

17%

AS Roma

5.90

8%

Atalanta

12.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 10.8 5.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 14.3 13.2 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 8.1 3.7 1.2 0.3
3 3.5 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.221
λ Away (xG) 0.927
Total xG 2.148
League avg home goals 1.262
League avg away goals 1.170
AS Roma attack strength 1.258
AS Roma defence strength 0.730
Atalanta attack strength 1.086
Atalanta defence strength 0.769
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70