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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

36%

AS Roma

2.81

30%

Draw

3.30

34%

AC Milan

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

0 – 1

12.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.06

1.02

AC Milan xG

36%
30%
34%
AS RomaDrawAC Milan

2.81

36%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

36%

AS Roma

2.76

35%

AC Milan

2.84

Win to Nil

13%

AS Roma

7.76

12%

AC Milan

8.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 12.9 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.9 7.1 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.044
λ Away (xG) 1.016
Total xG 2.060
League avg home goals 1.229
League avg away goals 1.135
AS Roma attack strength 1.117
AS Roma defence strength 0.685
AC Milan attack strength 1.306
AC Milan defence strength 0.761
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59