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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

49%

AC Milan

2.03

29%

Draw

3.40

21%

Parma

4.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.09

0.77

Parma xG

49%
29%
21%
AC MilanDrawParma

2.03

49%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

4.67

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

46%

AC Milan

2.17

27%

Parma

3.75

Win to Nil

23%

AC Milan

4.40

6%

Parma

17.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 9.5 3.7 0.9 0.2
1 16.3 12.6 4.9 1.3 0.2
2 10.7 8.3 3.2 0.8 0.2
3 4.7 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.321
λ Away (xG) 0.773
Total xG 2.094
League avg home goals 1.232
League avg away goals 1.218
AC Milan attack strength 1.107
AC Milan defence strength 0.810
Parma attack strength 0.784
Parma defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63