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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

57%

AC Milan

1.76

29%

Draw

3.40

14%

Parma

7.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.2%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.21

0.66

Parma xG

57%
29%
14%
AC MilanDrawParma

1.76

57%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

7.29

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

52%

AC Milan

1.94

21%

Parma

4.73

Win to Nil

29%

AC Milan

3.41

3%

Parma

34.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 7.2 2.4 0.5 0.1
1 17.0 11.2 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 13.2 8.7 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 6.8 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.553
λ Away (xG) 0.661
Total xG 2.214
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.292
AC Milan attack strength 0.944
AC Milan defence strength 0.730
Parma attack strength 0.701
Parma defence strength 1.212
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 21