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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

64%

AC Milan

1.55

21%

Draw

4.70

14%

Monza

7.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.93

0.87

Monza xG

64%
21%
14%
AC MilanDrawMonza

1.55

64%

Home win

4.70

21%

Draw

7.02

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

42%

AC Milan

2.38

13%

Monza

7.87

Win to Nil

27%

AC Milan

3.69

2%

Monza

55.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.0 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.3
2 11.4 9.9 4.3 1.2 0.3
3 7.8 6.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 4.0 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.063
λ Away (xG) 0.868
Total xG 2.931
League avg home goals 1.230
League avg away goals 1.149
AC Milan attack strength 1.169
AC Milan defence strength 0.934
Monza attack strength 0.809
Monza defence strength 1.435
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75