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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

52%

AC Milan

1.93

28%

Draw

3.63

21%

Lecce

4.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.16

0.77

Lecce xG

52%
28%
21%
AC MilanDrawLecce

1.93

52%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

4.86

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

46%

AC Milan

2.15

25%

Lecce

4.04

Win to Nil

24%

AC Milan

4.15

5%

Lecce

19.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 8.8 3.4 0.9 0.2
1 16.0 12.3 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 11.2 8.6 3.3 0.8 0.2
3 5.2 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.397
λ Away (xG) 0.767
Total xG 2.164
League avg home goals 1.164
League avg away goals 1.158
AC Milan attack strength 1.189
AC Milan defence strength 0.876
Lecce attack strength 0.756
Lecce defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58