Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

42%

AC Milan

2.38

34%

Draw

2.94

24%

Lazio

4.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.2%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

AC Milan xG

Total xG

1.95

0.80

Lazio xG

42%
34%
24%
AC MilanDrawLazio

2.38

42%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

4.17

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

45%

AC Milan

2.23

32%

Lazio

3.15

Win to Nil

19%

AC Milan

5.32

8%

Lazio

13.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.2 11.4 4.6 1.2 0.2
1 16.3 13.1 5.3 1.4 0.3
2 9.3 7.5 3.0 0.8 0.2
3 3.6 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.146
λ Away (xG) 0.804
Total xG 1.950
League avg home goals 1.196
League avg away goals 1.132
AC Milan attack strength 1.121
AC Milan defence strength 0.912
Lazio attack strength 0.778
Lazio defence strength 0.856
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50