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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

37%

AC Milan

2.67

33%

Draw

3.03

30%

Lazio

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.19

1.02

Lazio xG

37%
33%
30%
AC MilanDrawLazio

2.67

37%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

36%

AC Milan

2.77

31%

Lazio

3.23

Win to Nil

14%

AC Milan

7.40

9%

Lazio

10.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 11.4 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.4 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.7 7.8 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.0 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.173
λ Away (xG) 1.018
Total xG 2.191
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.206
AC Milan attack strength 1.031
AC Milan defence strength 0.786
Lazio attack strength 1.074
Lazio defence strength 0.871
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64