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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 28 Dec 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

54%

AC Milan

1.87

25%

Draw

4.01

21%

Hellas Verona

4.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.53

0.92

Hellas Verona xG

54%
25%
21%
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona

1.87

54%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

4.66

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

40%

AC Milan

2.50

20%

Hellas Verona

5.00

Win to Nil

21%

AC Milan

4.67

4%

Hellas Verona

23.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 7.3 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 12.9 11.8 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.5 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.6 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.609
λ Away (xG) 0.917
Total xG 2.526
League avg home goals 1.225
League avg away goals 1.119
AC Milan attack strength 1.139
AC Milan defence strength 0.975
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.840
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.153
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53