Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

50%

AC Milan

1.99

31%

Draw

3.26

19%

Hellas Verona

5.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.63

0.97

Hellas Verona xG

50%
31%
19%
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona

1.99

50%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

5.25

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

38%

AC Milan

2.65

19%

Hellas Verona

5.25

Win to Nil

19%

AC Milan

5.27

4%

Hellas Verona

27.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.0 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.9 11.6 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.6 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.3 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.3 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.659
λ Away (xG) 0.975
Total xG 2.634
League avg home goals 1.369
League avg away goals 1.312
AC Milan attack strength 1.040
AC Milan defence strength 0.794
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.937
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.165
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 62