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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

58%

AC Milan

1.72

25%

Draw

4.08

17%

Genoa

5.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.40

0.76

Genoa xG

58%
25%
17%
AC MilanDrawGenoa

1.72

58%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

5.78

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

47%

AC Milan

2.14

20%

Genoa

5.12

Win to Nil

27%

AC Milan

3.69

3%

Genoa

29.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 14.9 11.3 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.1 9.3 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.6 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.634
λ Away (xG) 0.763
Total xG 2.397
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.299
AC Milan attack strength 1.188
AC Milan defence strength 0.700
Genoa attack strength 0.838
Genoa defence strength 1.014
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53