🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AC Milan Win
41%
2.47
34%
2.97
26%
3.87
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.4%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.4%
Draw
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.15
AC Milan xG
Total xG
2.01
0.86
Fiorentina xG
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
2.47
41%
Home win
2.97
34%
Draw
3.87
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.43
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
42%
2.37
32%
3.15
Win to Nil
17%
5.85
8%
12.19
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.4 | 11.6 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.4 | 13.3 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.147
λ Away (xG)
0.864
Total xG
2.011
League avg home goals
1.147
League avg away goals
1.064
AC Milan attack strength
1.109
AC Milan defence strength
0.949
Fiorentina attack strength
0.856
Fiorentina defence strength
0.901
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 44