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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Wed 18 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Optus Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

31%

AC Milan

3.19

28%

Draw

3.57

41%

Como

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.36

1.28

Como xG

31%
28%
41%
AC MilanDrawComo

3.19

31%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

28%

AC Milan

3.58

34%

Como

2.97

Win to Nil

9%

AC Milan

11.41

14%

Como

7.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 12.0 7.7 3.3 1.0 0.3
1 10.2 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.6 7.1 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.087
λ Away (xG) 1.276
Total xG 2.363
League avg home goals 1.231
League avg away goals 1.238
AC Milan attack strength 1.110
AC Milan defence strength 0.822
Como attack strength 1.254
Como defence strength 0.796
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62