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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

48%

AC Milan

2.10

31%

Draw

3.23

21%

Como

4.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.29

0.87

Como xG

48%
31%
21%
AC MilanDrawComo

2.10

48%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

4.70

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

42%

AC Milan

2.40

24%

Como

4.12

Win to Nil

20%

AC Milan

5.02

5%

Como

19.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 8.9 3.9 1.1 0.2
1 14.3 12.5 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.2 8.9 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 4.8 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.416
λ Away (xG) 0.874
Total xG 2.290
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.244
AC Milan attack strength 1.034
AC Milan defence strength 0.862
Como attack strength 0.815
Como defence strength 1.059
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 28