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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 24 May 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

49%

AC Milan

2.03

27%

Draw

3.77

24%

Cagliari

4.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.40

0.94

Cagliari xG

49%
27%
24%
AC MilanDrawCagliari

2.03

49%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

4.14

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

39%

AC Milan

2.55

23%

Cagliari

4.31

Win to Nil

19%

AC Milan

5.17

6%

Cagliari

17.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 8.5 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.3 12.4 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.1 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.7 4.4 2.1 0.6 0.2
4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.460
λ Away (xG) 0.935
Total xG 2.395
League avg home goals 1.219
League avg away goals 1.151
AC Milan attack strength 0.997
AC Milan defence strength 1.047
Cagliari attack strength 0.776
Cagliari defence strength 1.201
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75