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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

43%

AC Milan

2.31

28%

Draw

3.63

29%

Bologna

3.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.36

1.03

Bologna xG

43%
28%
29%
AC MilanDrawBologna

2.31

43%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.44

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

36%

AC Milan

2.81

27%

Bologna

3.77

Win to Nil

15%

AC Milan

6.49

8%

Bologna

12.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.5 12.9 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.6 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.7 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.327
λ Away (xG) 1.034
Total xG 2.361
League avg home goals 1.257
League avg away goals 1.089
AC Milan attack strength 1.023
AC Milan defence strength 1.079
Bologna attack strength 0.880
Bologna defence strength 1.032
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40