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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atalanta Win
19%
5.30
26%
3.88
55%
1.81
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.0%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
0 – 2
10.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.93
AC Milan xG
Total xG
2.68
1.74
Atalanta xG
AC MilanDrawAtalanta
5.30
19%
Home win
3.88
26%
Draw
1.81
55%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.05
Clean Sheet
17%
5.71
39%
2.54
Win to Nil
3%
30.28
22%
4.59
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 12.0 | 10.5 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 11.2 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.933
λ Away (xG)
1.743
Total xG
2.676
League avg home goals
1.246
League avg away goals
1.137
AC Milan attack strength
1.133
AC Milan defence strength
0.991
Atalanta attack strength
1.545
Atalanta defence strength
0.661
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
70 / 70