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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

66%

AC Milan

1.51

22%

Draw

4.56

12%

AS Roma

8.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.6%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.40

0.61

AS Roma xG

66%
22%
12%
AC MilanDrawAS Roma

1.51

66%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

8.38

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

55%

AC Milan

1.83

17%

AS Roma

6.03

Win to Nil

36%

AC Milan

2.77

2%

AS Roma

50.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 5.5 1.7 0.3 0.1
1 16.3 9.9 3.0 0.6 0.1
2 14.6 8.8 2.7 0.5 0.1
3 8.7 5.3 1.6 0.3
4 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.1
5 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.796
λ Away (xG) 0.606
Total xG 2.402
League avg home goals 1.344
League avg away goals 1.337
AC Milan attack strength 1.062
AC Milan defence strength 0.639
AS Roma attack strength 0.709
AS Roma defence strength 1.258
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 55