Most Likely Outcome
Waterford Win
44%
2.30
23%
4.31
33%
3.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.6%
Home win
1 – 2
7.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.87
Waterford xG
Total xG
3.49
1.62
Drogheda United xG
WaterfordDrawDrogheda United
2.30
44%
Home win
4.31
23%
Draw
3.00
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
68%
Over 2.5
1.47
32%
Under 2.5
3.12
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.46
32%
BTTS No
3.16
Clean Sheet
20%
5.04
15%
6.48
Win to Nil
9%
11.58
5%
19.46
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 8.6 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.868
λ Away (xG)
1.618
Total xG
3.486
League avg home goals
1.479
League avg away goals
1.240
Waterford attack strength
0.932
Waterford defence strength
1.153
Drogheda United attack strength
1.132
Drogheda United defence strength
1.356
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
52 / 52